SPDN: An Inexpensive Way To Profit When The S&P 500 Falls

Summary
SPDN is not the largest or oldest way to short the S&P 500, but it’s a solid choice.
This ETF uses a variety of financial instruments to target a return opposite that of the S&P 500 Index.
SPDN’s 0.49% Expense Ratio is nearly half that of the larger, longer-tenured -1x Inverse S&P 500 ETF.
Details aside, the potential continuation of the equity bear market makes single-inverse ETFs an investment segment investor should be familiar with.
We rate SPDN a Strong Buy because we believe the risks of a continued bear market greatly outweigh the possibility of a quick return to a bull market.
Put a gear stick into R position, (Reverse).
Birdlkportfolio

By Rob Isbitts

Summary
The S&P 500 is in a bear market, and we don’t see a quick-fix. Many investors assume the only way to navigate a potentially long-term bear market is to hide in cash, day-trade or “just hang in there” while the bear takes their retirement nest egg.

The Direxion Daily S&P 500® Bear 1X ETF (NYSEARCA:SPDN) is one of a class of single-inverse ETFs that allow investors to profit from down moves in the stock market.

SPDN is an unleveraged, liquid, low-cost way to either try to hedge an equity portfolio, profit from a decline in the S&P 500, or both. We rate it a Strong Buy, given our concern about the intermediate-term outlook for the global equity market.

Strategy
SPDN keeps it simple. If the S&P 500 goes up by X%, it should go down by X%. The opposite is also expected.

Proprietary ETF Grades
Offense/Defense: Defense

Segment: Inverse Equity

Sub-Segment: Inverse S&P 500

Correlation (vs. S&P 500): Very High (inverse)

Expected Volatility (vs. S&P 500): Similar (but opposite)

Holding Analysis
SPDN does not rely on shorting individual stocks in the S&P 500. Instead, the managers typically use a combination of futures, swaps and other derivative instruments to create a portfolio that consistently aims to deliver the opposite of what the S&P 500 does.

Strengths
SPDN is a fairly “no-frills” way to do what many investors probably wished they could do during the first 9 months of 2022 and in past bear markets: find something that goes up when the “market” goes down. After all, bonds are not the answer they used to be, commodities like gold have, shall we say, lost their luster. And moving to cash creates the issue of making two correct timing decisions, when to get in and when to get out. SPDN and its single-inverse ETF brethren offer a liquid tool to use in a variety of ways, depending on what a particular investor wants to achieve.

Weaknesses
The weakness of any inverse ETF is that it does the opposite of what the market does, when the market goes up. So, even in bear markets when the broader market trend is down, sharp bear market rallies (or any rallies for that matter) in the S&P 500 will cause SPDN to drop as much as the market goes up.

Opportunities
While inverse ETFs have a reputation in some circles as nothing more than day-trading vehicles, our own experience with them is, pardon the pun, exactly the opposite! We encourage investors to try to better-understand single inverse ETFs like SPDN. While traders tend to gravitate to leveraged inverse ETFs (which actually are day-trading tools), we believe that in an extended bear market, SPDN and its ilk could be a game-saver for many portfolios.

Threats
SPDN and most other single inverse ETFs are vulnerable to a sustained rise in the price of the index it aims to deliver the inverse of. But that threat of loss in a rising market means that when an investor considers SPDN, they should also have a game plan for how and when they will deploy this unique portfolio weapon.

Proprietary Technical Ratings
Short-Term Rating (next 3 months): Strong Buy

Long-Term Rating (next 12 months): Buy

Conclusions
ETF Quality Opinion
SPDN does what it aims to do, and has done so for over 6 years now. For a while, it was largely-ignored, given the existence of a similar ETF that has been around much longer. But the more tenured SPDN has become, the more attractive it looks as an alternative.

ETF Investment Opinion

SPDN is rated Strong Buy because the S&P 500 continues to look as vulnerable to further decline. And, while the market bottomed in mid-June, rallied, then waffled since that time, our proprietary macro market indicators all point to much greater risk of a major decline from this level than a fast return to bull market glory. Thus, SPDN is at best a way to exploit and attack the bear, and at worst a hedge on an otherwise equity-laden portfolio.

Hotels Near Disneyland California

Now that you have definitely decided to take the family on a unforgettable trip to Disneyland, you are going to have to find some hotels near Disneyland, California, in order for you to make a good choice as to where you and your family will stay. If you do a search on the Internet, you will find a variety of really good hotels.The Best Western Anaheim Inn is one of the most convenient hotels near the Resort. This hotel is located right across the street from the Magic Kingdom. You will be sure to experience a fantastic vacation and, at the same time, you will be staying in one of the most family-friendly hotels close to the Hotel Resort for families. You will not have to worry about breaking your pocketbook while staying at this hotel.One of the hotels near Disneyland, California, is the Best Western Anaheim Inn is located in the heart of Anaheim and is less than a mile away from the Convention Center. Every room in the hotel features a microwave, mini-fridge, and high speed wireless Internet access. You will get a sense of satisfaction in knowing that you are staying at the Best Western which is the World’s Largest Hotel chain.Be sure that you enquire about their vacation packages. The Park Hopper Tickets as well as other Southern California tours are ready for purchase. A shuttle bus leaves daily from a ¼ block from the hotel’s front door. You can also visit the Hollywood, San Diego Zoo, Universal Studios and SeaWorld. This makes the Best Western Anaheim Inn one of the most versatile of all of the hotels near Disneyland, California.Carousel Inns and SuitesA lot of families come to this area just to experience the sounds and the sights of the great resort. Their location in Anaheim is in the most perfect location because they are literally across the street. This is just another one of the hotels near Disneyland, California.This hotel has been designated as one of the Good Neighbor Hotels. This makes them Californias hit among both business and leisure travelers. This means that you will be able to skip the lines and be able to buy Park Hopper tickets there and get ready to seek out the fun and frivolity that many people experience when they come to the hotel. You will be able to enjoy the evening fireworks display from the rooftop pool or from the comfort of one of the Inn’s many suites that overlook the Disney Resort.You have now completed your Anaheim hotel search. Where are you going to go in order to enjoy fabulous family fun? Why, none other than the Disneyland Resort of course. Where will you stay when you come to visit?There is only one place that will fill you wish list and that is the Howard Johnson Plaza Hotel – another fabulous Anaheim Hotel. The Howard Johnson Plaza Hotel is situated right across from the Matterhorn Mountain on Harbor Boulevard in Disneyland. It is an easy eight minute walk to the Main Gates. The hotel is only four blocks from the Convention Center. You will be able to watch the fireworks display from Castaway Cove at the Howard Johnson Hotel.We look forward to welcoming you to one of the hotels near Disneyland, California.

US Markets in green on Friday; Dow 30 up over 345 points, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500 up nearly 1%

US Markets were trading in the green on Friday with Dow 30 trading at 30,678.80, up by 1.14%. While S&P 500 was trading at 3,701.66, up by 0.98% and Nasdaq Composite 10,690.60 was also up by 0.71 per cent

Twitter Facebook Linkedin
US Markets in green on Friday; Dow 30 up over 345 points, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500 up nearly 1%
Earlier today, Indian stock markets ended the week on a winning note. It was the sixth straight gains for equity markets. Source: Reuters
US Markets were trading in the green on Friday with Dow 30 trading at 30,678.80, up by 345.25 points or1.14 per cent. While S&P 500 was trading at 3,701.66, up by 35.88 points or 0.98 per cent and Nasdaq Composite 10,690.60 was also up 75.75 points or 0.71 per cent. A Reuters report said that today’s strength was on the back of a report which said the Federal Reserve will likely debate on signaling plans for a smaller interest rate hike in December, reversing declines set off by social media firms after Snap Inc’s ad warning.

Source: Comex

Nasdaq Top Gainers and Losers

Source: Nasdaq

Earlier today, Indian stock markets ended the week on a winning note. It was the sixth straight gains for equity markets. The BSE Sensex ended at 59,307.15, up by 104.25 points or 0.18 per cent from the Thursday closing level. Meanwhile, the Nifty50 index closed at 17,590.00, higher by 26.05 points or 0.15 per cent. In the 30-share Sensex, 13 stocks gained while the remaining 17 ended on the losing side. In the 50-stock Nifty50, 21 stocks advanced while 29 declined.